His floor is very high right now, and he has two runner-up finishes in his past five trips to Riviera. RELATED: Arnold Palmer: 10 rules for a golf life. The 2020-21 PGA Tour season ends with this week's Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, Georgia. Additionally, Youngs short game has been in the toilet since the calendar flipped to 2023. Safest Option: Will Zalatoris ($8,900 DraftKings | $10,700 FanDuel). Pick To Win: Hideki Matsuyama ($9,200 DraftKings | $10,800 FanDuel). PGA picks this week can be made or broken by the tiny variances in schedules and tournaments. See the full Puerto Rico Open 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.. Nate Lashley 16-1 Ben Martin 20-1 Brandon Harkins 22-1 WM Phoenix Open Hole-in-One odds (Will someone ace the 16th hole? Hes finished T2 and T3 here in the past two years, so I love for him to continue in that space and come through as the winner in this elevated event. Its yet another elevated event on the PGA Tourso its dangerous to put our chips down on one name over 20-1, but thats what were doing. McIlroy hasnt had his best stuff over the past two weeks, while Rahm has won five times in last eight starts. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. After placing T6 in his 2019 tournament debut, he has since gone on to place T9 and T24 in his subsequent appearances. Hes a big hitter with an all-around game. Its a good number if nothing else. Hes third in weighted SG/approach over the past year, fourth in wSG/off the tee and 11th in par-5 scoring, per RickRunGood.com (weighted strokes-gained numbers factors in field strength). Everything with his game is clicking right now. He often plays from the rough, but hell have company this week as Riviera features some of the hardest fairways to hit all year. No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. Your sportsbooks per-place payout will vary from one book to another, so be careful to compare them before placing an each-way bet. Houston Open: Sepp Straka. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. His last top-35 finish came three years ago, and hes lost strokes to the field in nine consecutive starts. And most importantly, our experts have hit an outright winner in three consecutive weeksthanks to Christopher Powers 30-1 win on Chris Kirk last week. Rick Gehman, founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. The 2014 FedEx Cup champion has long odds this week to the tune of +10000 to win. Each-way betting is quite similar to placing a bet on someone to win an event in the future. For the sake of placing a wager, every online sportsbook makes use of geolocation technology to determine your current location. At the same time, though, JT hasnt finished outside of the Top 20 at TPC Scottsdale in each of the last five years and has been Top 10 three times and Top 5 twice in that stretch. (Pat Mayo also had runner-up Eric Cole as a +900 top-10 bet.) But given how well hes played in 2022 from the tee to the green, a putter that works for him might be able to change that. Listed at +100 apiece to finish Top 10, Im getting aggressive and parlaying them to both finish Top 10 this week. He enters the competition ranked 27th in the FedEx Cup standings (seventh among players who have never won). If two golfers are matched up, sportsbooks may make wagers on who will come out on top based on who has the better score. But, as Schauffele explained on Friday at Bay Hill, Kitayama lifts like one. The Cheat Sheet provides DraftKings fantasy golf players with course info, player history and the most noteworthy trends of the week to help them with their roster selections. Despite the trouble guarding so many of the greens at PGA Nationals Champion course, Kirk managed to hit 54 of 72 greens to rank T-7 for the week, while posting a strokes gained/approach mark of 7.643 strokes gained on the field to rank second. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated after each round. What better place to do that than with our WM Phoenix Open picks for this week. 1 Open Expert Picks - majorpunter golf; 2 Golf Picks - Expert PGA Golf Picks This Week | Pickswise; 3 RickRunGood | Fantasy Golf & Betting Data; 4 Rick Gehman (@RickRunGood) / Twitter; 5 Wyndham Championship expert picks: Who an expert is picking to win; 6 Gambling | This is the Loop | 7 PGA Picks This Week 2022: PGA Tour Expert Picks and . A top-five finish for Zalatoris would be his second in his last five starts. Now its Rorys turn. The 4th elevated event on the PGA Tour schedule takes place this week with the star-studded 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Every golfer dreams of getting their handicap down, and weve got news for you. There are many bookmakers that offer head-to-head matchup golf betting odds for every round of the tournament, as well as for the full event. RSM Classic: Brendon Todd. betting. Houston Open: Jason Day. Win. managing editor: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) This is inching toward a community bet, and golf betting isnt that easy. Usually. With the course stretched to over 7,500 yards, the field will be hitting plenty of long irons into these greens. Riviera is a much more friendly setup to Theegala than TPC Scottsdale. Its easier to do than you might think. Hopefully its one of his hot weeks. The course sets up for Rory as a drawer and bomber. Our PGA Tour expert picks for the wildest event in golf as we break down our WM Phoenix Open picks, best bets and more for the first elevated event. If you want to bet on golfers winning majors or perhaps the FedEx Cup and Race to Dubai outright, this is a great opportunity. Take a look at some of the most common kinds of golf wagers found in sportsbooks. None of us trade notes before the week but weve all arrived at the same conclusion in regards to a particular Wake Forest Demon Deacon at an event with the most iconic Wake Forest alum in the tournament name. Only he and Jon Rahm rank top-10 in SG/tee-to-green and SG/putting over the past 50 rounds, according to datagolf. Amateur in 2017, but no U.S. Open since 1948. Thats one of his better stretches since early 2020. In the past two weeks, Day has played greatjust one bad round prevented him from contending. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. Hatton has historically been a good iron player, gaining 0.25 strokes per round over his past 100 rounds. Powers, Golf Digest: Shane Lowry (65-1, FanDuel) Last week he was the toast of the town as the second favorite, and he wound up finishing top five. Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 props, odds, field: Expert head-to-head golf matchup picks, PGA best bets. On top of that, hes doing it with accurate driving thats a little less than long but high-quality iron play, gaining 0.54 strokes per round on approach over his last 20 rounds. With the importance of those skills at Riviera, it should be little surprise that he has missed the cut in all three trips to this event. Lack: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) This matchup will be extremely fun to track, as I believe Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm have emerged as far and away the two best players in the world. Fitzpatrick just keeps chugging along, piling up top 20s no matter where he plays. A good way to hedge that is by employing him in OAD. Hes a great fit and, even if he doesnt cash an outright for us, hes still been good enough at this event to get us a nice chunk. He hasnt won on American soil since the 2015 WGC-Bridgestone Invitational. Pat Mayo, DraftKings/Fantasy National, Mayo Media Network analyst: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) The concerns over Zalatoris health appear to be over after his immaculate ball-striking performance at The Genesis two weeks back. 13 in the , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. RELATED: The sportsbook at TPC Scottsdale looks like it's going to be incredible, Most Likely To Disappoint: Tyrrell Hatton ($8,100 DraftKings | $9,900 FanDuel). He has +1700 PGA golf odds to win the 2022 Wyndham Championship. Hes riding a super-hot putter and is the most overvalued of the favorites, per my model. "Yeah, Kurt, The term futures bets refers to wagers placed on the outcome of the next season. All of the major golf tournaments, as well as additional significant PGA and European Tour events, are covered by us. Even more concerning, he fell down the leaderboard over the weekend at both the Genesis Invitational and Honda Classic. WMPO: Collin Morikawa. DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook are two of the most popular apps for online sports betting in states that allow PGA expert picks to sleepers. Hes played six majors as a professional and has notched four top 10s. Rick Gehman, founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. The 10-time PGA Tour winner remains one of the best short iron players in this field over a large sample size, which has led him to countless high-end finishes at not just Sedgefield, but at. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Morikawa, who came close for me at both Torrey and Riviera. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated. But the hole I like best at Bay Hill is the par-4 eighth, a lovely dogleg-right with a diagonal green perched above a small circular pond. Golf Digest - Stephen Hennessey 5h. With just one missed cut and two finishes outside the Top 30 in a total of 15 starts abroad. Over the past 36 rounds, Rahm is gaining a staggering 3.01 strokes per roundthe most in the field, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Jon Rahm (8/1) Keyur Khamar. Cameron Young ($8,800 DraftKings | $10,400 FanDuel). RELATED: PGA Championship picks 2022: Our experts debate Viktor Hovland's chances. Ahead of the Arnold Palmer Invitational in Orlando and the concurrent Puerto Rico Open, PGA Tour Commissioner Jay Monahan spelled out in a memo to players released on Wednesday how most tournaments that were just Mayo won the 2022 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and is a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). You must be of legal age in the state where you are betting on golf. Homa was splendid in his win at TPC Potomac, battling wet and nasty conditions all week long. 9 this week. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Being responsible about gambling means knowing whether to gamble, Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Xander Schauffele (24-1, FanDuel) Bay Hill is a demanding test overall, and Schauffele has an all-around game thats as good as anyones. Adding to . He is statistically among the top 15 golfers in terms of strokes gained on, off, and tee-to-green gains (seventeenth-best) due to his high percentage of green-in-regulation hits (69.83 percent). How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. LIV Golf star Peter Uihlein has revealed that he is 'much happier' playing on the breakaway circuit, after things didn't 'work out' over on the PGA Tour.. Uihlein has had a successful start to life as a LIV golfer, having secured three top-five finishes - including two runner-up spots - in 2022, whilst also finishing third in the season-long individual ranking. (There were only nine courses last year where strokes gained/around the green was more correlated to success, per my RickRunGood.com course regression model. In the last year, hes lost 0.24 strokes putting per round and has lost 0.09 per round in the short-game categories combined. Mayo: Tom Kim (45-1, DraftKings) While hell likely be my pick to win next week, Kims odds have simply slipped too far for his upside this week. Having returned to his alma maters home state of Texas, the 25-year-old is the clear favorite, and a win here may be just the beginning for this talented golfer. Mitchell has proven to possess a few skills that will be very valuable at Southern Hills. The best thing about betting on golf is that there are so many ways to get involved. Gehman: Sahith Theegala (+100) over Shane Lowry (DraftKings) Theegala is getting more consistent as a professional, making the cut in nine straight events while earning four top-10s in the process. Those two golf courses are much better for him than Rivera, which will expose the worst parts of his game. Since the Phoenix Open, hes gained a total of 10.8 strokes on approach, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? Mayo: Keith Mitchell (45-1, DraftKings) The number is just too high when you can keep scrolling past his name and find truly elite players who just happen to be in worse current form. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to, High Upside: Max Homa ($8,100 DraftKings | $9,800 FanDuel). Not great when the conditions may call for a grinder. It's fair to say that LIV's numbers are on par with the first round of last week's PGA Tour event. Jon Rahm ($11,100 DraftKings | $12,200 FanDuel). At most sportsbooks, you can wager on a player to finish in the top three, top five, or top 10 of their event. Outside of the Zurich Classic, where Grace partnered with Garrick Higgo, he hasnt threatened a top 20 in 2022. 2 Scottie Scheffler is back to. Despite the negative flatstick, he still finished T-9 and T-14 in those events. Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. From Golf Digest Architecture Editor emeritus Ron Whitten: I've always been fascinated by the design of Bay Hill, Arnold Palmer's home course for over 45 years (although Tiger Woods owns it, competitively-speaking, as he's won there eight times.) Even the best golfers in the world, such as Jon Rahm and Justin Thomas, could be considered underdogs for the most prestigious tournaments. Adrian Meronk ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,500 FanDuel). Dont gamble unless you know the facts. The metrics are sour with no signs of them turning around. Mayakoba: Thomas Detry. Previously, rough surrounded most greensso you faced a straightforward pitch around the greens. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. Young finished runner-up at this event last year but has lost his touch on and around the greens since that week. He is priced with peers like Alex Noren and Tommy Fleetwood, who have been competitive all over the globe. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Looking at the top-four finishers at The Honda Classic, you would've thought this event was being held at the same time as a marquee golf tournament (like the Puerto Rico Open will be going against the Arnold Palmer Invitational this coming week).. In the last four events hes played in, hes made the cut. betting. Hes incredibly talented and seems to only be getting better. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's . Prior to that debacle, Bradley has five top-25 finishes in his previous seven startsincluding a win at the ZOZO Championship. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. HyperFlex Carbon offers additional underfoot cushioning with an OrthoLite Impressions FitBed. At these odds, I love for him to show up to a place hes comfortable at and get back to his DNA. Now everybodys hopping off at 65-1? It is impossible to keep up with all of the PGA Tours upcoming tournaments without our golf expert picks. Ill be thrilled if he plays well, but he wont be making an appearance in my lineups. It won't be all fun. Hes played this event four times and has yet to make the cut. We provide comprehensive form guides, as well as news and links to the appropriate betting markets for PGA picks, to help you make informed golf bets. 1.3%. We are seeing Pereira mature right in front of our eyes. Add in Gdula and Stephen Hennesseys Tony Finau (16-1) winner at the Houston Open in the Fall and that gives the panel four outright hits on the 2022-23 season. Cameron Young is +4000 to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational this weekend. Weve been tracking Thomas for weeks, and he seemed poised for an upturn. Justin Thomas ($10,100 DraftKings | $11,600 FanDuel). The setup at Bay Hill will play similarly to PGA National, and if a few more putts fall and Young . A bit of hand-holding is in order, because . But before we get there, we have to take an unfortunate look back at our picks and best bets from last week. Chris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. If you thought last weeks elevated event was big, itll be basically the same field at a major-championship caliber golf course, all while injecting Tiger Woods into the field! Hes a major champion, a WGC winner (remember those?) It . Reason to pick: We hate picking a guy with single-digit odds, but he . Bay Hill has been a ball-strikers paradise historically, and theres no better ball-striker to go to war with (besides Willy Z) than Kawa. His past 10 starts have produced seven top-20s, including two victories. Lack: Hideki Matsuyama (66-1, BetMGM) This is a pure number play for me, as in my opinion, Hideki Matsuyama is a bonafide top-20 player in the world, despite the betting markets not treating him like one. Gdula: Tony Finau (+240, FanDuel) Its such a good field that even the top 10 will be hard for long shots to squeeze into with much success. CJ Cup: Matt Fitzpatrick. With the U.S. Open awarded to nearby LA Country Club for 2023, it doesnt appear Riviera will get another Open (though it will host the 2028 Olympics). Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keith Mitchell (50-1, Bet365) Mitchell proved he can hang with the big guns at Riviera, and he didnt have his A game on approach. We have a Privacy Policy and Cookie Policy. Note:All odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Our outright panelwhich consists of a caddie reporting anonymously from the grounds at Bay Hill; Pat Mayo of DraftKings and FantasyNational.com; Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; Andy Lack of RRG and his Inside Golf Podcast; and your two authorsis all aboard the Willy Z train. Usually. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Hes never played API, but hes been especially potent on Bermudagrass in his short career. Both are ideal fits for this type of ball-striking course and Rahm has been a Top 10 machine here as the hometown guy. RELATED: Phil Mickelson drops to depressingly low standing in the Official World Golf Ranking. Andy Lack is a PGA Tour writer and podcaster from New York City who now resides in Los Angeles. A year after being named PGA Tour Rookie of the Year, he has yet to win a tournament on the professional circuit. With the exception that you get to choose where your golfer will place in the competition. As for Conners, hes been somewhat shockingly bad of late, most noticeably at Riviera where he lost four strokes tee-to-green, something he hasnt done since the Memorial in June of 2021. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational predictions, expert picks, odds, golf best bets, field rankings at Bay Hill. Its not fun taking a stand at the top of this stellar field, but its a task that we must complete. Chris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015 outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death. He was T13 previously but now hes coming to the WM Phoenix Open where hes been nails and is a phenomenal overall fit with his polished all-around game. Powers, Golf Digest: Chris Kirk (+600, DraftKings) Coming off his first win in eight years, Kirks confidence should be riding high. There were also three new members elected to the USGA executive committee. The winner hasnt been better than 12 under in any of the past four years, with two single-digit under par victors. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Cam Davis. Genesis: Justin Thomas. We warned you guys after Scottie Schefflers win in Phoenix once this panel gets hot, we tend to run hot! There are no weaknesses in his game, but perhaps this is a letdown spot and a chance for us to finally get some value on someone down the board (please)? Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's . Sportsbooks in the US should offer golf futures because they are so common. RSM Classic: Brian Harman. At first glance, you might not consider Kitayama as a big boy with his 5-foot-7, 170-pound frame. Farmers: Jason Day. The play: NBA, Pelicans money line over Trail Blazers The odds/wafer: +105 ($30 to win $31.50) The book: BetMGM Time/TV: 10:10 p.m. (Bally Sports) Our take: Throughout the course of our daily best . RELATED:PGA Championship 2022 picks: The 13 best bets to win at Southern Hills, Most Likely To Disappoint: Webb Simpson ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,400 FanDuel).
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